Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 15.662337 17.740945 20.073562 22.900875 26.256021 30.136455 35.001914
2025-09-07 12.731235 15.331726 18.492421 22.670574 28.130400 35.140220 45.018074
2025-09-14 10.705687 13.393587 16.829529 21.635699 28.337327 37.592416 51.792504
2025-09-21 9.227631 11.877964 15.397341 20.539513 28.086448 39.143523 57.361339
2025-09-28 8.253598 10.885040 14.495485 19.975503 28.393790 41.410121 64.338218
2025-10-05 8.355064 11.356606 15.647496 22.485399 33.634671 52.163281 87.963553
2025-10-12 7.988093 11.105997 15.703668 23.310111 36.306824 59.198816 106.978668
2025-10-19 7.320814 10.342375 14.897545 22.640284 36.332126 61.521521 117.314529
2025-10-26 7.051644 10.151328 14.948119 23.370135 38.898501 69.051053 141.089940
2025-11-02 6.601477 9.638204 14.431133 23.056946 39.483585 72.767546 157.322500
2025-11-09 6.185688 9.145500 13.900365 22.651366 39.817626 76.007353 173.491782
2025-11-16 5.841950 8.742340 13.481940 22.397093 40.403484 79.901212 192.881241
2025-11-23 5.450985 8.249203 12.895071 21.814665 40.336525 82.549867 210.675732
2025-11-30 5.152771 7.890702 12.513691 21.585826 40.997938 87.140050 236.869754
2025-12-07 4.769915 7.363042 11.791839 20.613909 39.885746 87.062504 247.654786
2025-12-14 4.412763 6.857980 11.074865 19.582801 38.502292 86.016855 254.759713
2025-12-21 4.157766 6.514427 10.626355 19.051941 38.200109 87.832503 273.751358
2025-12-28 4.310997 6.892468 11.530195 21.412498 45.160426 112.038249 401.830248
2026-01-04 4.243648 6.871426 11.680284 22.187143 48.371052 126.318204 500.497819
2026-01-11 4.015659 6.544620 11.216724 21.558017 47.824471 128.361245 537.332931
2026-01-18 3.951570 6.514935 11.331378 22.243504 50.934520 143.834699 668.967142
2026-01-25 3.786175 6.286820 11.034843 21.949398 51.278879 149.626244 746.587648
2026-02-01 3.623025 6.054387 10.714471 21.568428 51.319644 154.353147 823.460039